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Now that Senator John McCain has the national lead in the polls and is closing in on Barack Obama in the Electoral College count, he has come out with a new ad trying to increase his lead. Barack Obama still leads in the Electoral College count if you look at the polls state by state. John McCain however is closing the gap. Depending on the poll you look at and the break down of the states, Barack Obama has around 278 Electoral College votes to John McCain’s 260. Just a few months ago, McCain was barley above the 200 mark and Obama was well in the 300’s.
According to recent polls, Obama is leading in the battleground states of Pennsylvania, Washington State, and Colorado.
John McCain is leading is Virginia, Michigan and Ohio. Just like 2000, Florida is a dead heat, a tie at 48%-48%. Florida would be the determining factor is the election was held today. The bump that John McCain has received from the convention and his pick of Sarah Palin as his running mate has put into contention is some states that he other wise would not have been focusing on. Barack Obama’s lead over McCain in Washington State for instance is just 4%. Barack is leading in all the states that John Kerry won is 2004. He needs to do better then this if he hopes to win in November. Barack Obama will need to pick up one of the battle ground states of Ohio, Virginia, Michigan, or Florida. If he can’t do this, then John McCain will walk into the White House with the same victory Bush had over Kerry four years ago.
Will McCain’s momentum continue? We will have to wait and see how Sarah Palin does with the Charles Gibson interview that will start to be aired on Thursday. Gibson has been given two days to interview Sarah Palin and claims that nothing is off limits in the interview. How well she does during this interview will go along way in determining whether she was the right pick or just a shocking pick. The McCain campaign has been shielding Palin from the media since their announcement. This is her first interview of TV and they had to have spent some time deliberating on which reporter would get the opportunity to be the first to interview her. Charles Gibson is probably a good choice. He does not come across as too aggressive and he has a reputation of being non biased. Unlike Chris Mathews and Keith Olberman. Both of whom have been removed by MSNBC of covering political debates due to their over whelming bias.